内蒙古鄂伦春自治旗健康地质环境适宜性评价

Geo-Environmental Suitability Assessment for GeoHealth in the Oroqen Autonomous Banner, Inner Mongolia

  • 摘要: 人类的健康与地质环境关系密切,地质背景、水、土、气、生等要素对人群健康有着显著影响。单一视角的地质环境适宜性评估因无法体现多要素交互作用而存在局限。为研究区域地质环境对人群健康的影响程度,本文以内蒙古鄂伦春自治旗为研究对象,针对多指标数据耦合与权重方法融合的难点,开展涵盖地质条件、地理条件、生态条件3个大类、11个小类的多指标交互作用的健康地质环境适宜性评价,通过层次分析法(AHP)和改进CRITIC法组合赋权方法得出各指标权重指数;并进行单因素轮换法(OAT)敏感性分析,验证评价结果的稳定性;最后结合空间自相关分析,探究鄂伦春自治旗健康地质环境的空间分布特征。评价结果显示,鄂伦春自治旗地质环境适宜性可划分为5个等级,一等适宜区面积达1876 km2,占研究区面积的17.26%,主要分布于东北部及山间河谷周围,受地形、土壤及矿物元素等因素影响较大。空间自相关分析表明,鄂伦春自治旗地质环境存在相似值聚集特征,大杨树镇和古里乡东部地质环境适宜性极高;敏感性分析中最大绝对平均变化率(MACR)为2.2354%,远低于权重变化率30%,表明评价结果总体相对稳定,权重设置合理。本评价方法能够客观反映鄂伦春自治旗地质环境适宜状况,评价结果科学可靠。

     

    Abstract: Human health is intimately linked to the geological environment. Geological background, water, soil, air, and biological factors significantly influence population health. However, a single-perspective evaluation of geo-environmental suitability fails to capture multi-factor interactions, limiting their applicability. To assess the impact of a regional geological environment on population health, this study focuses on the Oroqen Autonomous Banner in Inner Mongolia. Aiming to overcome the challenge of multi-index data coupling and weight integration, a GeoHealth-oriented geo-environmental suitability assessment was conducted, encompassing 11 indicators across three categories: geological, geographical, and ecological conditions. Indicator weights were determined by integrating the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with a modified CRITIC method. A one-factor-at-a-time (OAT) sensitivity analysis was performed to validate result robustness. Finally, spatial autocorrelation analysis was employed to explore spatial patterns. Results indicate that geo-environmental suitability can be classified into five levels. Class Ⅰ (most suitable) areas cover 1876 km2 (17.26% of the study area), predominantly distributed in the northeast and intermontane river valleys, where suitability is primarily influenced by topography, soil properties, and mineral element distributions. Spatial autocorrelation analysis reveals significant clustering of similar suitability values, with the highest suitability observed in Dayangshu Town and eastern Guli Township. Sensitivity analysis yields a maximum mean absolute change rate (MACR) of 2.2354%, far lower than the weight change rate of 30%, indicating that the evaluation results are generally stable and that the weight setting is reasonable. This assessment objectively reflects the geo-environmental suitability of the Oroqen Autonomous Banner, and the results are scientific and credible.

     

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